2025 Emmys Predictions in Every Category
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Final Emmy Nom Predictions: ‘Severance’ and ‘The Studio’ Expected to Lead Series With 19 Noms EachVarietyAwards Circuitsection is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars,Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated byVarietysenior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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Emmys Commentary (Updated: July 10, 2025):TV Academy members have attended their final FYC event, finished their primetime binges and filled out their Emmy ballots. Now it’s time to wait for July 15, when the 2025 Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced.
AdvertisementAdvertisement#«Rgae4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframe AdvertisementAdvertisement#«R10ae4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframePredicting which contenders resonated with voters can be a challenge. The Television Academy’s 24,000 members are a mysterious hive — it’s a much larger crowd than the concentrated mix of 11,000 professionals that make up the Motion Picture Academy — which can make for more unexpected choices. Difficult as it may be to track voters’ tastes, we’ve run the numbers, read the room and are ready to place our bets.
Apple TV+ is expected to be behind two of the year’s most-nominated series: the returning cerebral drama “Severance” and Seth Rogen’s scathing Hollywood satire “The Studio.” Both are projected to land 19 nominations. If “The Studio” picks up a few artisan nods as well, it could become the most-nominated freshman comedy ever — edging out “Ted Lasso,” the Apple show that broke the record with 20 nominations in 2021.
That’s not all for Tim Cook’s sleek streaming arm. Add in the return of hit drama “Slow Horses,” Harrison Ford’s career-redefining turn in “Shrinking” (a likely first-time television-acting nomination for the screen legend), its powerhouse trio of limited series (“Disclaimer,” “Dope Thief” and “Presumed Innocent”) and a few strategic pickups in doc and tech categories, and Apple could best last year’s 72 nominations — it would be a personal record.
Apple may have the biggest fish when it comes to Emmy-worthy series, but Netflix boasts an ocean of contenders. The streaming juggernaut is expected to pull in north of 120 nominations, spread across more than three dozen programs. Its flagship contender will undoubtedly be the British psychological miniseries “Adolescence,” poised for five acting nominations, including for producer-writer-star Stephen Graham and 15-year-old breakout Owen Cooper. Also in the hunt for Emmys at Netflix are the sophomore season of the Keri Russell-led political satire “The Diplomat,” the rom-com freshman “Nobody Wants This” and the anthology thriller “Black Mirror” — which may finally crack the top-tier limited series category after years of near misses.
AdvertisementAdvertisement#«Rgfe4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframe AdvertisementAdvertisement#«R10fe4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframeMeanwhile, the network now — and formerly — known as HBO Max is projected to land in the vicinity of 109 nominations, led by reigning comedy champ “Hacks” and the noirish Batman spinoff “The Penguin.” The latter is poised to bring first-time TV-acting nominations for stars Colin Farrell and Cristin Milioti, and could break the record of 26 nominations for a comic book adaptation that was set by HBO’s “Watchmen” in 2020.
Among HBO Max dramas, Mike White’s social satire “The White Lotus” is expected to sweep the supporting acting categories with contenders Walton Goggins, Parker Posey, Carrie Coon and Sam Rockwell. The show’s first two seasons picked up 20 and 23 nominations, respectively. We’ll see if Season 3 can keep pace with its predecessors.
As for the one-two punch of NBC and Peacock, the Comcast-owned entities should put up respectable numbers with the 50th season of sketch comedy stalwart “Saturday Night Live,” as well as the hit reality show “The Traitors” (including a nom for host Alan Cumming) and the spy thriller “The Day of the Jackal,” starring Eddie Redmayne.
FX will be down from its historic 91-nomination haul in 2024, but John Landgraf’s quality-first boutique is set to score a respectable 50-plus nods this time. Helping its cause, even without last year’s “Shōgun” juggernaut, are “The Bear,” still roaring in its third season; the farewell bow of “What We Do in the Shadows”; and the heartbreaking limited series “Dying for Sex,” led by Michelle Williams. FX’s Disney corporate cousin Hulu also has the potential for a strong showing, thanks to the lasting power of mystery comedy “Only Murders in the Building.” The hit whodunit will likely help executive producer Selena Gomez extend her record as the most-nominated Latina producer in Emmy history (bringing her to four noms). The streamer also has viable candidates such as the Sterling K. Brown vehicle “Paradise” and the final season of the dystopian drama “The Handmaid’s Tale.”
AdvertisementAdvertisement#«Rgle4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframe AdvertisementAdvertisement#«R10le4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframeDisney+’s Emmy tally was modest in 2024, but this year “Andor” could rewrite the script. The acclaimed “Star Wars” prequel is expected to return to major categories, and if it surpasses “The Mandalorian”’s 24-nod second season, “Andor” will become the most-nominated “Star Wars” series to date.
More notably, 2025 might mark the first time two Latino actors — Diego Luna (“Andor”) and Pedro Pascal (“The Last of Us”) — are nominated for lead drama actor, if they can break into the five available slots. They could also be joined by Ramón Rodríguez, whose surprise surge for ABC’s “Will Trent” may signal a long-overdue shift in representation.
Speaking of broadcast contenders, after four strong seasons, ABC’s “Abbott Elementary,” led by Quinta Brunson, could finally crack a double-digit tally. Meanwhile, Kathy Bates would make history as the oldest woman nominated in the lead drama actress category for CBS’ well-received reboot “Matlock.”
Also making a play for the history books, Bella Ramsey (“The Last of Us”) could become the first openly nonbinary performer to earn multiple acting nominations, as could “Hacks” star Carl Clemons-Hopkins. These are more signs of a slow but meaningful shift toward inclusion in a year marked by a White House administration hostile to representation.
AdvertisementAdvertisement#«Rgqe4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframe AdvertisementAdvertisement#«R10qe4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframeWith this past year still affected by the tail end of the Hollywood strikes, there was a 3% drop in program submissions. That dip, combined with an unusually open field, could result in no series surpassing the 20-nomination mark — which hasn’t happened since 2013, before the streaming boom and the rise of megahits like “Game of Thrones.” In this fragmented TV era, where viewership is more splintered across platforms than ever, a scenario in which more shows are recognized in fewer categories could be a welcome [rep shift]. Rather than dominance by a handful of titles, the “spread the wealth” effect allows for a broader representation of series — offering visibility to smaller, critically acclaimed shows that might be overlooked in a crowded field.
Here are Variety’s final Emmy nomination predictions.
Top 10 projected nomination leaders (series):
“Severance” and “The Studio” (19)
“The Penguin” (18)
“The White Lotus” (17)
“Adolescence” and “The Last of Us” (16)
“The Bear” and “Hacks” (15)
“Only Murders in the Building” (13)
“Andor” (12)
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (11)
“Abbott Elementary” and “Black Mirror” (10)
“The Pitt,” “RuPaul’s Drag Race,” “Saturday Night Live,” “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” and “What We Do in the Shadows” (9)
AdvertisementAdvertisement#«Rgve4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframe AdvertisementAdvertisement#«R10ve4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframeTop 10 projected nomination leaders (studios):
Netflix (123)
HBO Max (109)
Apple TV+ (65)
FX (45)
ABC (42)
NBC (40)
Hulu (32)
Disney+ (30)
CBS (29)
Prime Video (21)
See Variety’s Academy Award predictions:
Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars
Drama Series
Drama Series!function() iframe AdvertisementAdvertisement#«R11fe4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframe
Emmy category page with rankings>>>
Limited or Anthology Series
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Emmy category page with rankings>>>
Lead Actor (Drama)
Lead Actor (Drama)!function() iframe AdvertisementAdvertisement#«R125e4kr8lb2m7nfddbH1» iframe
Emmy category page with rankings>>>
Lead Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
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Emmy category page with rankings>>>
Lead Actress (Comedy)
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Lead Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
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Supporting Actor (Drama)
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Supporting Actor (Comedy)
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Supporting Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
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Supporting Actress (Drama)
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Supporting Actress (Comedy)
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Supporting Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
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Guest Actor (Drama)
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Guest Actress (Drama)
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Guest Actor (Comedy)
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Guest Actress (Comedy)
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Reality Programs
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Talk Series
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Scripted Variety
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Variety Specials (Live, Pre-Recorded)
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Documentary/Nonfiction
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Directing (Drama)
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Directing (Comedy)
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Directing (Limited or Anthology/TV Movie)
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Directing (Documentary/Nonfiction)
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Directing (Variety Series)
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Directing (Variety Special)
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Directing (Reality)
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Writing (Drama)
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Writing (Comedy)
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Writing (Limited/TV Movie)
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Writing (Variety Series)
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Writing (Nonfiction)
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Game Show
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Host for a Game Show
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Host (Reality/Competition)
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Casting
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Animated Program
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Character Voiceover/Short Form Performer
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Production Design
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Cinematography
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Costumes
Costumes!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Editing
Editing!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Makeup
Makeup!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Hairstyling
Hairstyling!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Sound Mixing
Sound Mixing!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Sound Editing
Sound Editing!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Special Visual Effects
Special Visual Effects!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Music
Music!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Short Form
Short Form!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Stunts/Choreography
Stunts/Choreography!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Title Design/Commercials/Emerging Media
Title Design/Commercials/Emerging Media!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
Technical Direction/Camerawork/Lighting Design
Technical Direction/Camerawork/Lighting Design!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
More Information
More Information!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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